Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Marc Majdandzic and Duje Markovina in the ITF Men Rosbach, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marc Majdandzic' if Marc Majdandzic advances against Duje Markovina. This market will resolve to 'Duje Markovina' if Duje Markovina advances against Marc Majdandzic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Rosbach: Marc Majdandzic vs Duje Markovina | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Marc Majdandzic and Duje Markovina are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Rosbach tournament on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket prices Majdandzic's advancement at 58 per cent, reflecting a modest favourite status in what appears to be a relatively evenly matched contest.
ITF Men's events at this level feature considerable variance in player form and preparation. Majdandzic and Markovina operate in a tier where recent tournament results, surface preference, and injury status shift probabilities substantially. Historical ITF matchups between similarly ranked players show that home-country advantage and recent match fitness often outweigh longer-term rankings. The 58 per cent probability suggests traders view Majdandzic as slightly better positioned, though the gap remains narrow enough to indicate genuine uncertainty about the outcome.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 3 June, as ITF events occasionally see late scratches. Surface conditions at Rosbach—typically clay—may favour one player's style over the other, and this information typically emerges closer to match day. The settlement window extends to 10 June, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion. Any delay beyond that threshold or failure to complete the match triggers a 50-50 resolution, which represents a material tail risk currently priced into the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Rosbach: Marc Majdandzic vs Duje Markovina" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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