Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Keisuke Saitoh in the ITF Men Gimcheon, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Keisuke Saitoh. This market will resolve to 'Keisuke Saitoh' if Keisuke Saitoh advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Gimcheon: Alan Magadan vs Keisuke Saitoh | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alan Magadan and Keisuke Saitoh are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Gimcheon tournament on 28 May 2026 at 10:00PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for match completion, suggesting traders on Polymarket's order book see minimal risk of cancellation, postponement beyond the seven-day grace period, or an unresolved outcome. This extreme confidence in settlement typically emerges when both players are confirmed entries in an established ITF circuit event with stable scheduling infrastructure.
ITF Futures tournaments at the Gimcheon venue have historically maintained reliable completion rates, with weather disruptions and player withdrawals remaining infrequent relative to lower-tier regional events. Comparable matches at this level settle within their scheduled windows in the vast majority of cases. The current order book pricing reflects this baseline expectation rather than any specific intelligence about either player's form or availability.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for any withdrawal announcements or schedule amendments in the weeks preceding the match. Player injury updates, visa complications, or severe weather forecasts for South Korea in late May would represent material catalysts. The settlement window closes 2 June 2026 at 02:00:00Z, providing a two-day buffer beyond the scheduled date to accommodate minor delays without triggering the 50-50 tie resolution condition.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Gimcheon: Alan Magadan vs Keisuke Saitoh" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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