Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sophia Ksandinov and Ani Amiraghyan in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Ksandinov' if Sophia Ksandinov advances against Ani Amiraghyan. This market will resolve to 'Ani Amiraghyan' if Ani Amiraghyan advances against Sophia Ksandinov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Sophia Ksandinov vs Ani Amiraghyan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sophia Ksandinov faces Ani Amiraghyan in the ITF Women's Tsaghkadzor tournament, scheduled for 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extremely thin liquidity or a technical pricing anomaly, as even heavily favoured outcomes in tennis rarely trade at absolute zero probability given injury risk, withdrawal, or match cancellation.
ITF women's matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the WTA top 200, making historical precedent difficult to establish without specific player records. Comparable ITF fixtures show that matches are cancelled or delayed at roughly 3–5% frequency due to injury, illness, or weather. The settlement window extends to 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day grace period for rescheduling before resolution defaults to 50-50. Traders should monitor both players' recent tournament schedules and any injury announcements through the ITF's official website or ATP/WTA injury databases.
Key catalysts include confirmation of tournament scheduling closer to the event date and any player withdrawal notices, typically posted 48–72 hours before matches. Weather conditions in Armenia during late May could affect outdoor clay court play. The extremely low probability currently priced suggests either no active market participants or a data feed issue; traders entering positions should verify current order book depth and recent trade activity before committing capital.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Sophia Ksandinov vs Ani Amiraghyan" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$54 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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