Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Oleksii Krutykh and Filiberto Fumagalli in the ITF Men Kranjska Gora, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oleksii Krutykh' if Oleksii Krutykh advances against Filiberto Fumagalli. This market will resolve to 'Filiberto Fumagalli' if Filiberto Fumagalli advances against Oleksii Krutykh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kranjska Gora: Oleksii Krutykh vs Filiberto Fumagalli | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
An ITF Men's circuit match scheduled for 27 May 2026 at Kranjska Gora will determine whether Ukrainian player Oleksii Krutykh progresses past Italian opponent Filiberto Fumagalli. The current order book on Polymarket reflects zero probability for a Krutykh victory, suggesting either strong conviction in Fumagalli's superiority or minimal trading activity establishing a baseline price. ITF tournaments at this tier typically attract limited spectator interest and sparse media coverage, which can result in thin liquidity and volatile pricing as new information emerges.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on current form, recent results, and surface-specific performance. Krutykh, competing primarily on Eastern European clay and hard courts, has built experience through consistent ITF participation. Fumagalli similarly relies on ITF tournaments to develop ranking points. Historical ITF matchups between players of comparable ranking often see significant shifts in implied probability once head-to-head records surface or recent tournament results become public. The zero probability currently priced suggests either a substantial disparity in recent form or an absence of trading establishing genuine market consensus.
Traders should monitor official ITF announcements regarding match confirmation and any schedule changes prior to the settlement window closing on 3 June 2026. Recent tournament results for both players—particularly performances in the two weeks preceding the match—will likely trigger repricing. Surface conditions at Kranjska Gora and withdrawal announcements from either player represent key catalysts that could shift the market substantially from its current extreme position.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kranjska Gora: Oleksii Krutykh vs Filiberto Fumagalli" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$297 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: