Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Komano and Maria Oliver Sanchez in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Komano' if Margaux Komano advances against Maria Oliver Sanchez. This market will resolve to 'Maria Oliver Sanchez' if Maria Oliver Sanchez advances against Margaux Komano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Margaux Komano vs Maria Oliver Sanchez | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Margaux Komano faces Maria Oliver Sanchez in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir, Tunisia, scheduled for 27 May 2026. The match is set for 4:30 AM ET, part of the lower-tier ITF circuit where both players compete regularly. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for a Komano victory, indicating strong backing for Oliver Sanchez amongst traders, though this extreme positioning warrants scrutiny given the limited historical data available on direct matchups between these competitors at this level.
ITF Women's matches at Monastir typically feature players ranked outside the WTA top 200, where form fluctuates considerably week to week. Oliver Sanchez holds a slight edge in recent ITF tournament results, though both players have demonstrated inconsistent performance across clay-court events. The 0% implied probability suggests traders have identified a significant advantage for Oliver Sanchez, possibly based on recent head-to-head records or current ranking differential, though such extreme probabilities in lower-tier tennis often reflect thin liquidity rather than definitive forecasting.
Traders should monitor tournament draws and any late withdrawals, as ITF events frequently experience last-minute changes. Surface conditions at Monastir clay courts and player injury updates in the week preceding 27 May will be material. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, allowing seven days for match completion; any cancellation or delay beyond this period triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current odds suggest limited uncertainty, but ITF-level matches carry execution risk that may not be fully priced.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Margaux Komano vs Maria Oliver Sanchez" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$65 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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