Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Francisca Jorge and Alba Rey Garcia in the ITF Women Montemor-O-Novo, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisca Jorge' if Francisca Jorge advances against Alba Rey Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Alba Rey Garcia' if Alba Rey Garcia advances against Francisca Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Alba Rey Garcia | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Francisca Jorge and Alba Rey Garcia are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event at Montemor-O-Novo on 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Jorge's advancement, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in her superiority or minimal liquidity depth at current prices. Settlement occurs on 11 June, providing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Women's matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in player form and surface adaptation. Jorge and Rey Garcia's head-to-head record, recent ranking trajectories, and clay-court performance history would normally anchor probability estimates. The extreme certainty reflected in current pricing warrants scrutiny—such levels often indicate thin order books rather than genuine consensus, particularly for lower-profile ITF events where trading volume remains sparse.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled, any late withdrawals or injury announcements from either player, and surface conditions at the Portuguese venue. Weather disruptions are material given the June timing. Traders should monitor ITF official channels and the players' social media for withdrawal notices, which occasionally occur within 48 hours of scheduled play. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against minor delays, though extended rain interruptions could trigger the tie-resolution clause if play remains incomplete by 11 June at 09:00 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Alba Rey Garcia" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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