Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ena Ilic and Alexa Karatancheva in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ena Ilic' if Ena Ilic advances against Alexa Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Alexa Karatancheva' if Alexa Karatancheva advances against Ena Ilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ena Ilic vs Alexa Karatancheva | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Ena Ilic and Alexa Karatancheva are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja on 3 June 2026. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 59% implied probability for Ilic's advancement, suggesting modest confidence in the Serbian player's prospects. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity rather than consensus forecasting, and represents the marginal price at which the last matched orders occurred.
Ilic, competing primarily on the ITF circuit, brings a ranking and match history that should be cross-referenced against Karatancheva's recent form and head-to-head record if available. ITF tournaments at this tier typically feature players ranked between 300 and 800 globally, where surface conditions, recent match fitness, and draw positioning carry substantial weight. The 59% probability suggests traders perceive a meaningful but not overwhelming edge for Ilic, consistent with competitive matchups where neither player is heavily favoured.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals in the days preceding 3 June, as ITF events occasionally experience roster changes. Weather conditions at the venue and court surface type—typically clay at Balkan ITF events—may influence match dynamics. The settlement window closes on 10 June at 07:00 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Any match postponement beyond that window, cancellation, or failure to produce a decisive result triggers a 50-50 resolution, introducing tail risk that the current orderbook may not fully price.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ena Ilic vs Alexa Karatancheva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $987 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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