Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yujia Huang and Reina Goto in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yujia Huang' if Yujia Huang advances against Reina Goto. This market will resolve to 'Reina Goto' if Reina Goto advances against Yujia Huang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Reina Goto | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Completed Match | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Yujia Huang and Reina Goto are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's Wuning tournament on 4 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 48% implied probability for Huang's advancement, suggesting near-parity in the order book. Settlement occurs by 12 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF Women's circuit, where surface conditions and recent form carry outsized importance. Huang's recent tournament results and head-to-head record against Goto—if available—provide baseline context for assessing whether the current 48% probability reflects genuine uncertainty or mispricing relative to their respective rankings and recent performances. ITF matches frequently feature volatility in seeding and player availability, making historical win rates less predictive than ATP or WTA events.
Traders should monitor tournament draws and player announcements through early June, as ITF events occasionally experience last-minute withdrawals or scheduling shifts. Weather conditions at the Wuning venue may also affect surface play and match duration. The settlement window's seven-day buffer creates exposure to administrative delays; confirmation of match completion will be essential for resolution. Current order book depth at 48% suggests moderate liquidity, with movement likely tied to any official player fitness updates or draw confirmations released closer to the scheduled date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Reina Goto" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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