Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ava Hrastar and Victoria Mulville in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ava Hrastar' if Ava Hrastar advances against Victoria Mulville. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Mulville' if Victoria Mulville advances against Ava Hrastar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Ava Hrastar vs Victoria Mulville | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Ava Hrastar faces Victoria Mulville in the ITF Women's tournament at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 3 June 2026 at 9:15AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Hrastar's advancement, suggesting the order book has priced in either strong conviction on her form or limited liquidity at the current odds. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion before the 50-50 tie-break resolution applies.
ITF Women's events at this level typically feature significant variance in outcomes, with seeding and recent form serving as primary indicators rather than deterministic factors. Comparable lower-tier ITF matches have historically shown that extreme probability concentrations (near 100%) often reflect either a substantial ranking or recent performance gap between competitors, or conversely, thin order book depth where early traders have moved prices without substantial counter-liquidity. The current probability warrants scrutiny against both players' recent tournament results and head-to-head records if available.
Key catalysts include any withdrawal announcements prior to the match date, weather disruptions affecting the Lakewood venue, or late-stage injury reports. Traders should monitor ITF's official schedule for any rescheduling beyond the seven-day window, which would trigger the automatic 50-50 resolution. Recent ITF tournament coverage and player ranking updates from the WTA Challenger circuit may provide additional context on either player's current competitive standing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Ava Hrastar vs Victoria Mulville" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$181 in lifetime turnover and $48K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $181 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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