Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Beatriz Guerra and Carolina Xavier Laydner in the ITF Women Brasilia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Guerra' if Beatriz Guerra advances against Carolina Xavier Laydner. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Xavier Laydner' if Carolina Xavier Laydner advances against Beatriz Guerra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Brasilia: Beatriz Guerra vs Carolina Xavier Laydner | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Beatriz Guerra faces Carolina Xavier Laydner in an ITF Women's tournament match scheduled for 3 June 2026 in Brasília. The current order book on Polymarket prices Guerra's advancement at 10%, reflecting substantial backing for the underdog Xavier Laydner. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion should delays arise.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when comparing players with limited recent match data or divergent playing surfaces. Guerra's 10% implied probability suggests the market views her as a clear underdog, though ITF tournaments frequently produce upsets when lower-ranked players face opponents with inconsistent form or surface-specific weaknesses. Historical precedent from similar regional ITF events shows that matches between players ranked outside the WTA top 200 can swing substantially based on recent tournament performance, injury status, or court conditions unfamiliar to one competitor.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through the ITF's official schedule updates, typically posted five to seven days before competition begins. Recent player activity—particularly any ITF or WTA qualifying results from May 2026—will signal form and confidence levels. Court surface conditions in Brasília and weather forecasts closer to the match date may favour one player's game style. Any announcement of injury or illness affecting either player would materially shift the current probability, as would confirmation of their respective seedings within the tournament bracket.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Brasilia: Beatriz Guerra vs Carolina Xavier Laydner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$112 in lifetime turnover and $405 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $112 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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