Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez and Neus Torner Sensano in the ITF Women Ontinyent, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez' if Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez advances against Neus Torner Sensano. This market will resolve to 'Neus Torner Sensano' if Neus Torner Sensano advances against Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Ontinyent: Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Neus Torner Sensano | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez faces Neus Torner Sensano in a Women's ITF tournament match at Ontinyent, scheduled for 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Gonzalez's advancement at 9%, implying Torner Sensano as the heavy favourite. This probability reflects the relative ranking and recent form data available to traders, though ITF-level matches carry higher volatility than WTA fixtures given smaller sample sizes and less comprehensive public information on player conditions.
ITF Women's tournaments typically feature players ranked outside the top 200, where head-to-head records and surface-specific performance become critical differentiators. Torner Sensano, competing on home clay at Ontinyent, holds a structural advantage; Spanish players historically perform well at domestic ITF events, and clay-court specialists often see their win probabilities elevated substantially when playing familiar surfaces. Gonzalez's 9% implied probability suggests either a significant ranking or recent-form disadvantage, or both players are relatively unknown to the market with limited trading activity establishing the line.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates for any withdrawals or schedule changes between now and the settlement window closing on 12 June. Player injury announcements, late withdrawals from preceding rounds, or weather disruptions affecting court conditions could shift the probability materially. The seven-day cancellation clause means matches delayed beyond 12 June without resolution will void the market, a risk factor worth tracking given European summer weather patterns and potential tournament scheduling conflicts.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Ontinyent: Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Neus Torner Sensano" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $317 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: