Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Gillan and Anastasia Kulikova in the ITF Women Montemor-O-Novo, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Gillan' if Alice Gillan advances against Anastasia Kulikova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Kulikova' if Anastasia Kulikova advances against Alice Gillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Alice Gillan vs Anastasia Kulikova | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alice Gillan and Anastasia Kulikova are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's circuit event at Montemor-O-Novo on 2 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Gillan's advancement at 1%, reflecting substantial confidence in Kulikova's victory. This probability emerges from the cumulative bids and offers across the market's liquidity pools, with traders pricing in available form data, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance metrics.
Gillan, a British player competing primarily on the ITF Women's circuit, has competed inconsistently at this tier, with variable results across different surfaces and tournament levels. Kulikova, competing for Russia on the ITF circuit, has demonstrated steadier performance metrics in comparable tournaments. The 1% implied probability for Gillan suggests the market views this as a heavily favoured matchup for Kulikova based on recent ranking trajectories and win-loss records in ITF events. Historical ITF Women's matches at this venue and surface type provide reference points for how upsets occur at this level, though they remain statistically infrequent.
Traders should monitor official ITF scheduling confirmations as the June 2 date approaches, particularly any surface condition reports or last-minute withdrawals that could trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution clause. Weather disruptions in Portugal during early June could delay proceedings beyond the seven-day buffer, whilst injury announcements in the week preceding the match would materially shift the order book. Settlement occurs on 9 June at 10:30 UTC, providing a one-week window for match completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Alice Gillan vs Anastasia Kulikova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $53K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: