Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Joanna Garland and Lucie Nguyen Tan in the ITF Women Tauste-Zaragoza, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joanna Garland' if Joanna Garland advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Joanna Garland. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Joanna Garland vs Lucie Nguyen Tan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Joanna Garland faces Lucie Nguyen Tan in the ITF Women's tournament at Tauste-Zaragoza on 27 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Garland's advancement, suggesting traders have priced in either a substantial skill differential or confidence in match completion. This extreme pricing warrants scrutiny, as ITF women's matches at this level typically feature tighter competitive margins than such certainty implies.
Historical ITF tournament data shows that upsets occur regularly at lower-tier events, with unseeded or lower-ranked players advancing in roughly 15-20% of matches against favoured opponents. Garland's current pricing leaves minimal room for Nguyen Tan's upset potential or match complications. Comparable ITF events at similar venues have occasionally seen schedule disruptions or player withdrawals, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match extends beyond seven days without completion.
Traders should monitor official ITF announcements regarding player confirmations and draw updates through early May. Weather conditions at the Spanish venue in late May could affect scheduling, whilst player injury reports or late withdrawals would substantially alter the match probability. The settlement window closes 3 June at 09:30 UTC, providing a tight window for resolution. Current market pricing suggests minimal uncertainty about either Garland's participation or her competitive edge, leaving limited value at these odds unless new information emerges regarding either player's fitness or tournament logistics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Joanna Garland vs Lucie Nguyen Tan" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$518 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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