Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Adhithya Ganesan and Amir Milushev in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adhithya Ganesan' if Adhithya Ganesan advances against Amir Milushev. This market will resolve to 'Amir Milushev' if Amir Milushev advances against Adhithya Ganesan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Amir Milushev | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Adhithya Ganesan and Amir Milushev are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kayseri tournament on 2 June 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. The match will determine who advances in the draw; resolution occurs by 9 June 2026 at 12:45 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating that traders are pricing in near-certainty of match completion with a decisive winner. This extreme probability typically emerges when liquidity is thin or when the market has already absorbed available information about both players' status and tournament logistics.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level show high completion rates, with cancellations or no-contests occurring in fewer than 5% of scheduled fixtures. Comparable lower-ranked ITF tournaments in Turkey have maintained consistent scheduling despite regional weather variability in early June. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the original date, allowing for minor delays without triggering a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for injury withdrawals, which represent the primary risk to match completion at this stage of the draw.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation in the days immediately before the match and any weather alerts for the Kayseri region. Recent ITF tournament reports indicate stable scheduling compliance across Turkish venues in June. The extreme probability on the order book may reflect limited trading activity rather than strong conviction; any material news regarding player availability could shift pricing significantly.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Amir Milushev" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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