Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ines Delaloye and Salma Drugdova in the ITF Women Osijek, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ines Delaloye' if Ines Delaloye advances against Salma Drugdova. This market will resolve to 'Salma Drugdova' if Salma Drugdova advances against Ines Delaloye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Osijek: Ines Delaloye vs Salma Drugdova | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Ines Delaloye of Switzerland faces Salma Drugdova in the ITF Women's tournament at Osijek, Croatia, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is currently priced at 9% implied probability for Delaloye on Polymarket's order book, reflecting substantial backing for Drugdova. The settlement window closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome after that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Delaloye, a Swiss player competing primarily on the ITF circuit, carries a modest ranking relative to WTA-level competition. Drugdova's positioning at 91% implied probability suggests market participants view her as the significantly stronger player, though ITF tournaments frequently feature competitive matchups between players of similar developmental stage. Historical ITF Women's events show that seeding and ranking differentials often compress in smaller tournaments, where surface conditions and recent form carry disproportionate weight. The 9% price for Delaloye reflects either a substantial ranking or recent-form gap, or limited liquidity creating wider spreads on the order book.
Key catalysts include official tournament draw confirmation and any late withdrawals or injury announcements prior to 3 June. ITF scheduling occasionally shifts matches within a tournament window; traders should monitor the official ITF website and tournament organisers for fixture changes. Recent form data—particularly results from May 2026 qualifying rounds or preceding ITF events—will clarify whether the current probability adequately reflects player trajectory. Surface preference on clay at Osijek may also influence pre-match adjustments to the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Osijek: Ines Delaloye vs Salma Drugdova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$26 in lifetime turnover and $264 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $26 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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