Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Bertacchi and Luciana Moyano in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Bertacchi' if Anastasia Bertacchi advances against Luciana Moyano. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Moyano' if Luciana Moyano advances against Anastasia Bertacchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Luciana Moyano | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Anastasia Bertacchi and Luciana Moyano are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir on 29 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Bertacchi's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing suggests either substantial confidence in Bertacchi's superiority or minimal liquidity at the current odds, a distinction worth examining before committing capital.
Bertacchi, an Italian player ranked outside the top 300 on the WTA, has competed regularly on the ITF circuit where she has demonstrated inconsistent results across varying competition levels. Moyano, an Argentine player with similar ranking trajectory, has shown competitive capability at ITF events but lacks recent breakthrough performances. Historical ITF matchups between players of comparable ranking typically settle at 55–65% for the higher-ranked or more in-form competitor, rarely at the extreme probabilities now displayed. The 100% reading suggests either a significant recent development favouring Bertacchi or thin order-book depth at available price levels.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through the ITF's official schedule updates, which typically finalise 48 hours before competition. Recent injury announcements or ranking shifts could alter the fundamental probability. The settlement window closes 5 June 2026 at 09:00 UTC, allowing seven days for match completion; any delay beyond this triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current odds warrant scrutiny given the disconnect from historical comparable matchups.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Luciana Moyano" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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