Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Battesti and Maria Andrienko in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Battesti' if Alice Battesti advances against Maria Andrienko. This market will resolve to 'Maria Andrienko' if Maria Andrienko advances against Alice Battesti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Alice Battesti vs Maria Andrienko | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Alice Battesti and Maria Andrienko are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Monastir tournament on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 56% implied probability for Battesti's advancement, suggesting modest confidence in the French player's ability to progress past her Ukrainian opponent. This probability has formed through live trading activity on the platform's order book, where participants have priced the match based on available information about both competitors' recent form and head-to-head record.
Battesti and Andrienko occupy similar positions within the ITF circuit, both competing regularly at the $25,000 level tournaments that form the backbone of professional women's tennis development. Historical ITF matchups at this tier typically show tight margins between players of comparable ranking, with home-court advantage and recent tournament momentum carrying measurable weight. The 56–44 split suggests the market views this as a competitive encounter without a dominant favourite, consistent with encounters between players separated by fewer than 100 ranking positions.
Traders should monitor the official ITF Monastir draw confirmation and any withdrawal announcements through the WTA's official channels, as late scratches remain common at lower-tier events. Surface conditions at the Monastir clay courts and recent tournament results from both players in May 2026 will provide concrete data points before the settlement window closes on 10 June. Weather delays extending beyond seven days would trigger the 50–50 resolution clause, a material tail risk given the tournament's North African location and typical June weather patterns.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Alice Battesti vs Maria Andrienko" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$56 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $56 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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