Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Bor Artnak and Giuseppe La Vela in the ITF Men Litija, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bor Artnak' if Bor Artnak advances against Giuseppe La Vela. This market will resolve to 'Giuseppe La Vela' if Giuseppe La Vela advances against Bor Artnak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Litija: Bor Artnak vs Giuseppe La Vela | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bor Artnak and Giuseppe La Vela are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Litija tournament on 24 May 2026, with the match originally set for 4:30 AM ET. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Artnak's advancement, indicating traders have priced in an expectation of a decisive result in his favour. This extreme probability suggests either substantial confidence in Artnak's superiority or minimal liquidity at the current price, typical of lower-tier ITF matches where trading volume remains sparse.
ITF Futures events at this level frequently settle with lopsided probabilities when one player holds a clear ranking or recent-form advantage. Historical patterns show that matches between players with significant rating gaps tend to resolve according to pre-match expectations, though upsets do occur. The settlement window extends to 31 May 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for match completion; delays beyond that threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a material risk for any trader holding a position.
Key catalysts include official tournament confirmation and any player withdrawals or injuries announced before 24 May. The ITF circuit publishes draw sheets and player status updates through its official channels; traders should monitor these for late scratches or postponements. Weather conditions in Litija, Slovenia could also force rescheduling. The current 100% pricing leaves no margin for uncertainty, making this market sensitive to any disruption announcements or late-breaking player news that might alter the expected outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Litija: Bor Artnak vs Giuseppe La Vela" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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