Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Anya Arora and Dasha Plekhanova in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anya Arora' if Anya Arora advances against Dasha Plekhanova. This market will resolve to 'Dasha Plekhanova' if Dasha Plekhanova advances against Anya Arora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Anya Arora vs Dasha Plekhanova | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Anya Arora and Dasha Plekhanova are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Lakewood tournament on 27 May 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero demand for YES positions, reflecting a 0% implied probability. This extreme skew typically emerges when one player is perceived as substantially stronger, when recent form or ranking data heavily favours one competitor, or when market participants have access to withdrawal or injury information not yet public. Given the settlement window closes 3 June 2026, traders have a narrow window to adjust positions should new information surface.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level frequently see probability shifts tied to late withdrawals, illness, or travel disruptions rather than competitive surprises on court. The Lakewood event sits within the broader North American ITF schedule, where scheduling conflicts and player rotation patterns can shift participation at short notice. Traders should monitor the official ITF website and tournament draw confirmations through late May, as last-minute scratches are common at lower-tier events where players balance multiple tournaments and ranking points.
The 50-50 resolution clause for cancellations, ties, or matches delayed beyond seven days without completion creates additional risk. Any disruption that prevents a decisive result by 3 June triggers an even split, effectively nullifying directional bets. Current market pricing suggests confidence in match completion and a clear winner, though the absence of YES volume may simply reflect limited trader interest in this particular fixture rather than high conviction in Plekhanova's victory.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Anya Arora vs Dasha Plekhanova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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