Trade: ITF Reggio Emilia: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Massimo Giunta
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Fabrizio Andaloro and Massimo Giunta in the ITF Men Reggio Emilia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabrizio Andaloro' if Fabrizio Andaloro advances against Massimo Giunta. This market will resolve to 'Massimo Giunta' if Massimo Giunta advances against Fabrizio Andaloro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $771
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| ITF Reggio Emilia: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Massimo Giunta | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Fabrizio Andaloro and Massimo Giunta are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's circuit event at Reggio Emilia on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Andaloro's advancement at 42 per cent, reflecting modest confidence in the Italian's prospects against his opponent. Settlement occurs by 21 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches extending beyond that threshold without resolution trigger a 50-50 split.
Both players operate within Italy's ITF ecosystem, where surface conditions and regional circuit form carry measurable weight. Andaloro's recent ITF performance trajectory and head-to-head record against Giunta—if any exists—typically anchor baseline expectations for lower-ranked professional matchups. The 42 per cent probability suggests the market views Giunta as the marginal favourite, though the spread remains narrow enough to indicate genuine competitive uncertainty rather than a heavily favoured outcome.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draws and any late withdrawals, which occur with material frequency at this level. Weather disruptions affecting the clay courts at Reggio Emilia could delay proceedings, though the seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against resolution ambiguity. Injury announcements or last-minute scheduling changes from either player's camp would shift the order book; currently, no such developments have shifted the probability materially from its formation point.
Wikipedia Context
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ITU RegionThe International Telecommunication Union (ITU), in its International Radio Regulations, divides the world into three ITU regions for the purposes of managing the global radio spectrum. Each region has its own set of frequency allocations, the main reason for defining the regions.
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ITV (TV network)ITV is a British free-to-air public broadcast television network. It is branded as ITV1 in most of the UK except for central and northern Scotland, where it is branded as STV. It was launched in 1955 as Independent Television to provide competition to BBC Television. ITV is the oldest commercial network in the UK. Since the passing of the Broadcasting Act 19
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List of ITV regions
The ITV television network of the United Kingdom is divided into a number of geographical regions.
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Isaac Samuel ReggioIsaac Samuel Reggio (YaShaR) was an Austro-Italian scholar and rabbi. He was born and died in Gorizia.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "ITF Reggio Emilia: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Massimo Giunta" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $771 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "ITF Reggio Emilia: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Massimo Giunta"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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