Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Melih Anavatan and Ammar Faleh Alhogbani in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melih Anavatan' if Melih Anavatan advances against Ammar Faleh Alhogbani. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Faleh Alhogbani' if Ammar Faleh Alhogbani advances against Melih Anavatan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Melih Anavatan vs Ammar Faleh Alhogbani | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Melih Anavatan, a Turkish player competing on the ITF Men's circuit, faces Ammar Faleh Alhogbani in Kayseri on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture where both competitors are developing their rankings through ITF tournaments. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either an absence of liquidity at current price levels or a market consensus that Anavatan is heavily favoured, though the extreme probability warrants scrutiny given typical ITF match volatility.
ITF Men's matches at this level frequently feature players with limited historical data and inconsistent form. Turkish domestic players competing in home tournaments often receive marginal advantages through familiarity with courts and conditions, though this effect varies considerably. Without established head-to-head records or recent ATP ranking context for either player, the current probability may be anchored to limited information—possibly Anavatan's recent results or seeding within the tournament draw rather than comprehensive comparative analysis.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements through the ITF's official schedule, particularly given the early morning scheduled time (4:00 AM ET). Weather conditions in Kayseri during late May could affect court preparation and match timing. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, providing a narrow window for resolution; any match delay beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current order book depth will determine whether the 0% probability reflects genuine market conviction or simply thin liquidity at the extremes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Melih Anavatan vs Ammar Faleh Alhogbani" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: