Trade: Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Tung-Lin Wu in the Tyler, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Tung-Lin Wu. This market will resolve to 'Tung-Lin Wu' if Tung-Lin Wu advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $59K
- Total Volume
- $9K
- 24h Volume
- $8K
- Open Interest
- $7K
Market outcomes
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Match O/U 21.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Set 1 Winner | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 77% YES | 24% NO |
Market context
Adam Walton faces Tung-Lin Wu in a tennis match scheduled for 1 June 2026 at 11:00 AM ET in Tyler. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 70% implied probability for Walton's advancement, pricing Wu's chances at 30%. This probability distribution suggests market participants view Walton as the favoured player, though the settlement window extends to 8 June 2026, allowing for scheduling adjustments within a seven-day tolerance before the market defaults to 50-50.
Walton and Wu operate at different tiers of professional tennis, which historically shapes match outcomes at lower-tier events. Players ranked outside the ATP top 200 typically face high variance in results, particularly at Challenger and ITF level tournaments where surface preference, recent form, and travel fatigue create unpredictable conditions. The 70-30 split suggests the market has incorporated some differential in ranking or recent performance data, though without recent tournament results for both players publicly available, traders should verify current ATP/ITF standings and head-to-head records before committing capital.
Key catalysts include confirmation of the match proceeding on schedule, any withdrawal announcements, or surface conditions that might favour one player's style. Texas heat in early June typically produces fast courts, which can amplify the advantage of serve-dominant players. Traders should monitor the ATP and ITF official schedules for any reschedules or cancellations, as the seven-day grace period means delays beyond 7 June would trigger the 50-50 resolution regardless of competitive status.
Wikipedia Context
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Tyler AdamsTyler Shaan Adams is an American professional soccer player who plays for Premier League club Bournemouth and the United States national team. Primarily a midfielder, he is capable of playing as a full-back on either side of the defense or midfield.
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Tyler James WilliamsTyler James Williams is an American actor and rapper. He began his career as a child actor, making several appearances on Saturday Night Live, Little Bill, and Sesame Street. Williams later rose to prominence for playing the role of Chris Rock on the UPN/CW sitcom Everybody Hates Chris (2005–2009). Following this, he starred as songwriter Cyrus DeBarge in th
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James Michael TylerJames Michael Tyler was an American actor best known for portraying Gunther on the NBC sitcom Friends. Prior to acting, he was an assistant film editor and production assistant. His early works included being the production assistant for Fat Man and Little Boy. He also portrayed Oscar Bevins in the 1997 thriller film Motel Blue.
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Tyler HamiltonTyler Hamilton is an American former professional road bicycle racer. He is the only American rider to win one of the five Monuments of cycling, taking Liège–Bastogne–Liège in 2003. Hamilton became a professional cyclist in 1995 with the US Postal Service cycling team. He was a teammate of Lance Armstrong during the 1999, 2000 and 2001 Tours de France, where
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$9K in lifetime turnover and $59K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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