Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Chun-Hsin Tseng and Timofey Skatov in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Timofey Skatov. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Chun-Hsin Tseng, the Taiwanese player ranked around 90th on the ATP, faces Italy-based Timofey Skatov in the opening rounds of the Perugia ATP 250 event scheduled for early June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability for Tseng's advancement, suggesting the market views him as a slight favourite despite Skatov's home-court advantage on Italian clay. This probability has formed across the exchange's liquidity pools as traders price in relative rankings, recent form, and surface suitability.
Tseng has shown steady improvement on the ATP circuit with occasional deep runs in lower-tier events, whilst Skatov competes primarily on the Challenger circuit and rarely features in ATP draws. Head-to-head records between players at this level are sparse, making recent tournament results and clay-court performance the primary anchors for probability assessment. Tseng's experience in ATP main draws, even against stronger opposition, typically outweighs home-court factors for players ranked outside the top 100.
The settlement window closes 8 June 2026, seven days after the scheduled match date. Traders should monitor the official ATP schedule for any weather delays or withdrawals in the days preceding the event. Perugia's outdoor clay courts are weather-dependent, and June scheduling occasionally produces postponements. Any withdrawal by either player or fixture rescheduling beyond the seven-day buffer would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering the market's risk profile.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$36 in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $36 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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