Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Pierluigi Basile in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Pierluigi Basile. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 Winner | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 21.5 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
Andrea Pellegrino and Pierluigi Basile are scheduled to compete in a tennis match at the Perugia event on 5 June 2026. The settlement window closes on 12 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for completion. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 77% implied probability for Pellegrino's advancement, suggesting the market views him as a clear favourite in this matchup.
Both players operate within the lower-tier professional circuit where head-to-head records and recent form carry substantial weight in probability assessment. Pellegrino's positioning at this probability level typically indicates either a significant ranking advantage, recent tournament results favouring his style, or prior direct matchup history. Comparable Italian domestic fixtures at similar tour levels have historically resolved with the higher-ranked player advancing in roughly 75–80% of cases, which aligns with current market pricing.
Traders should monitor official tournament scheduling confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements through the ATP or ITF channels, as lower-ranked events occasionally experience last-minute cancellations. Surface conditions at Perugia—typically clay—may shift probability if either player has documented clay-court strengths or weaknesses that emerge in pre-tournament commentary. Injury reports or late-round exits in preceding weeks could also trigger order book repricing. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 resolution for cancellations or delays beyond seven days creates a tail-risk factor worth tracking as the scheduled date approaches.
André Perugia was a French shoe designer regarded as one of the pioneers of twentieth-century footwear design. Active from the 1910s to the 1970s, he was known for technically innovative and sculptural shoes, and for collaborations with major couturiers such as Paul Poiret and Elsa Schiaparelli.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pierluigi Basile" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $67K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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