Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Dalibor Svrcina in the Prostejov, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Dalibor Svrcina. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Completed Match | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Maxim Mrva and Dalibor Svrcina are scheduled to meet in a tennis match at Prostejov on 1 June 2026. The market currently prices Mrva's advancement at 28% on Polymarket's order book, implying Svrcina as the favoured player. Settlement occurs on 8 June, allowing a week for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Both players compete primarily on the ATP Challenger circuit, where surface and tournament tier significantly influence outcomes. Prostejov typically hosts a clay-court event, a surface that historically favours baseline consistency over serve-dominant play. Czech players, including Svrcina, often show stronger records on home clay, whilst Mrva's recent form and head-to-head record against Svrcina would provide clearer calibration of the current 28% probability. Comparable Challenger matches between similarly ranked players usually see the favoured player priced between 55–70%, suggesting the market views this as relatively competitive or that Svrcina holds a material edge.
Traders should monitor official ATP Challenger announcements for draw confirmation and any surface or scheduling changes closer to the event date. Injury reports or late withdrawals in the week before 1 June could shift the order book sharply. Recent form—particularly results from May tournaments—will influence last-minute repricing. The early morning ET start time (4:00 AM) may also affect liquidity and participation on the order book as the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $60K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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