Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Monzon and Nicolas Kicker in the Cordoba, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Ignacio Monzon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Ignacio Monzón and Nicolás Kicker are scheduled to meet in the Córdoba tournament on 12 May 2026. The match sits at an even 50% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting genuine uncertainty between two Argentine players competing on home soil. The settlement window closes on 19 May at 14:30 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer for scheduling delays or postponements before the market defaults to 50-50 resolution.
Monzón and Kicker have competed regularly on the ATP Challenger circuit, where surface preference and recent form typically drive outcomes. Argentine clay-court specialists often show marked home-venue advantages at Córdoba, historically one of South America's most established tournaments. The current even split suggests the market has not yet incorporated decisive recent performance data or injury updates that would favour either player, leaving room for information asymmetry as the match approaches.
Traders should monitor ATP Challenger rankings and recent match results in the weeks before 12 May, particularly performance on clay courts. Any withdrawal announcements, injury reports, or late-draw changes will shift the order book. Weather conditions at Córdoba in May—typically warm and dry—favour consistent baseline play, which may advantage whichever player has demonstrated superior consistency in recent tournaments. Official tournament draws and practice-session reports, typically released one week prior, often trigger meaningful repricing as traders calibrate against observable form.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Cordoba: Ignacio Monzon vs Nicolas Kicker" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $208 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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