Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Federico Agustin Gomez in the Tunis, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Federico Agustin Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Federico Agustin Gomez' if Federico Agustin Gomez advances against Laurent Lokoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Tunis: Laurent Lokoli vs Federico Agustin Gomez | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Laurent Lokoli and Federico Agustin Gomez are scheduled to meet in a tennis match in Tunis on 13 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 40% implied probability for Lokoli's advancement, suggesting Gomez holds a modest favourite status on Polymarket's order book. Settlement occurs on 20 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Lokoli, a French player, and Gomez, an Argentine competitor, operate at different tiers of professional tennis. Historical ATP and Challenger circuit records between players of disparate rankings typically show the higher-ranked competitor winning 60–70% of encounters, though surface specialisation and recent form substantially alter those baselines. Tunis's clay courts favour baseline players with strong defensive mechanics; this surface characteristic has historically compressed win probabilities for aggressive servers facing clay-court specialists. The current 40% probability for Lokoli suggests the market perceives either a significant ranking gap favouring Gomez or recent form disadvantaging Lokoli.
Traders should monitor ATP rankings updates and any injury announcements in the fortnight before the scheduled date. Confirmation of the tournament draw and court assignments, typically released 48 hours before play, will clarify surface conditions and scheduling pressures. Weather delays in North Africa during May are uncommon but possible; the seven-day settlement window provides buffer against minor postponements. Recent tournament results for both players, particularly performances on clay, will inform sharper probability adjustments closer to the match date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tunis: Laurent Lokoli vs Federico Agustin Gomez" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$42 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $42 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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