Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Philip Sekulic in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Philip Sekulic. This market will resolve to 'Philip Sekulic' if Philip Sekulic advances against Maximus Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Match O/U 21.5 | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Set 1 Winner | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Match O/U 22.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Maximus Jones and Philip Sekulic are scheduled to meet in the Bengaluru 2 tournament on 14 May 2026 at 5:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 40% implied probability for Jones to advance, suggesting the market views Sekulic as the marginal favourite. This probability formation typically reflects recent form, head-to-head records where available, and surface preference assessments across active traders. The settlement window closes on 21 May 2026 at 09:30 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer for fixture delays before resolution defaults to 50-50.
Jones and Sekulic operate at the lower-to-mid tier of professional tennis, where historical volatility in matchup outcomes is pronounced. Comparable fixtures at Challenger and ATP 250 level events show that seeding disparities and recent tournament performance carry substantial weight in market pricing. Injury withdrawals and late schedule adjustments occur frequently at this tier, making fixture confirmation a material catalyst. Traders should monitor official ATP and tournament communications for any roster changes or surface-condition announcements in the week preceding the match.
Recent tournament schedules and player availability updates typically emerge through the ATP official website and tournament organisers' social media channels. Surface conditions at Bengaluru—hard court—favour certain playing styles, and any late-breaking fitness concerns from either player could shift the order book materially. The 40% probability currently embedded suggests meaningful uncertainty, consistent with the competitive parity often seen in mid-tier professional matchups.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$102 in lifetime turnover and $36K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $102 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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