Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Aleksandar Vukic in the Bordeaux, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic Set 1 Winner | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% YES | 22% NO |
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic Match O/U 22.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Rinky Hijikata and Aleksandar Vukic are scheduled to compete in the Bordeaux ATP tournament on 12 May 2026. The match represents a clash between two Australian players with contrasting career trajectories. Hijikata, ranked in the mid-200s, has shown promise on the ATP Challenger circuit but remains inconsistent at tour level. Vukic, similarly ranked but with greater ATP main draw experience, has demonstrated resilience in lower-tier competitions. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 57% implied probability for Hijikata's advancement, suggesting modest confidence in the younger player's ability to navigate this matchup.
Historical head-to-head records between players of comparable ranking levels indicate that surface preference and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes. Bordeaux's clay courts favour baseline consistency and defensive solidity—attributes that have characterised Vukic's play more prominently than Hijikata's aggressive baseline approach. Recent ATP Challenger results from both players through early 2026 will provide the most reliable indicator of current form, though neither competitor has established a dominant pattern against similarly ranked opposition.
Traders should monitor injury reports and late withdrawals in the lead-up to the scheduled date, as both players' participation in preceding tournaments could affect their physical condition. Tournament scheduling changes, whilst uncommon at established venues like Bordeaux, remain possible. The settlement window extends to 19 May, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling before resolution triggers the 50-50 tie clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$161 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $161 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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