Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Forti and Jelle Sels in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Forti' if Francesco Forti advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Francesco Forti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Jelle Sels | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Francesco Forti and Jelle Sels are scheduled to meet in the opening rounds of the ATP Challenger event in Perugia on 2 June 2026. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, suggesting either extreme confidence in Forti's advancement or minimal liquidity at current price levels. Settlement occurs on 9 June, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Forti, an Italian player competing on home soil, typically carries advantage in such matchups, though the 100% probability warrants scrutiny. Comparable Challenger-level markets rarely sustain such extreme readings unless one player holds a decisive ranking advantage or injury status heavily favours one side. Sels, a Belgian competitor, has competed at similar levels but lacks the home-court positioning. Historical patterns suggest that when domestic players face lower-ranked or less-favoured opponents in Challenger events, probabilities of 85–95% are more common than absolute certainty, indicating the current pricing may reflect thin order-book depth rather than genuine certainty.
Traders should monitor ATP injury reports and withdrawal announcements through early June, as Challenger draws frequently experience last-minute changes. Weather conditions in Perugia during that week could affect scheduling. Any late ranking shifts or unexpected player withdrawals from the tournament would alter the match dynamics substantially. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides some protection against minor delays, but extended rain or scheduling conflicts remain material risks to monitor.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Jelle Sels" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$52K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $32 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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