Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kouzmine/Strombachs and Alkaya/Azkara in the Centurion, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kouzmine/Strombachs' if the team of Kouzmine/Strombachs advances against Alkaya/Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Alkaya/Azkara' if the team of Alkaya/Azkara advances against Kouzmine/Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Centurion (Doubles): Kouzmine/Strombachs vs Alkaya/Azkara | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A doubles tennis match between Kouzmine/Strombachs and Alkaya/Azkara is scheduled for 30 May 2026 at the Centurion event, with the winner advancing in the tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Kouzmine/Strombachs, indicating the market has priced this pairing as a near-certain outcome. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team is substantially favoured based on ranking differential, recent form, or head-to-head record, though such pricing leaves minimal margin for upset scenarios.
Doubles tennis markets at lower-tier events often show wide probability swings when player availability or partnership stability becomes uncertain. Historical precedent suggests that when one pairing holds a significant ranking advantage—particularly if one team comprises higher-ranked singles players—the market can price in probabilities above 90%. However, doubles outcomes remain volatile; partnership chemistry, surface suitability, and fatigue from concurrent singles draws frequently disrupt expected results. The Centurion event typically draws mid-ranking professionals, where upsets occur more frequently than at Grand Slams.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through the ATP's official schedule updates as the May 30 date approaches. Injury announcements affecting either player, changes to the match schedule, or weather delays beyond the seven-day settlement window would trigger alternative resolution conditions. Current pricing leaves little room for Alkaya/Azkara value unless new information emerges regarding Kouzmine/Strombachs' availability or form deterioration in the weeks preceding the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Centurion (Doubles): Kouzmine/Strombachs vs Alkaya/Azkara" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$85 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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