Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kielan/Romios and Jecan/Pavel in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kielan/Romios' if the team of Kielan/Romios advances against Jecan/Pavel. This market will resolve to 'Jecan/Pavel' if the team of Jecan/Pavel advances against Kielan/Romios. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia (Doubles): Kielan/Romios vs Jecan/Pavel | 74% YES | 26% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
A doubles tennis match between Kielan/Romios and Jecan/Pavel is scheduled for the Perugia tournament on 2 June 2026. The market currently reflects a 74% implied probability that Kielan/Romios will advance, as priced across Polymarket's order book. Settlement occurs by 9 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion before the market resolves to a 50-50 split if no winner is determined.
The current probability sits notably higher than typical opening odds for lower-ranked doubles pairings at ATP 250 events. Historical data from comparable Perugia tournaments suggests that seeding and recent ATP rankings drive initial pricing; unseeded or lower-seeded teams rarely command 74% probability unless one pairing has demonstrated clear form advantages or head-to-head records. The absence of recent public rankings updates for these specific partnerships means traders are working with limited recent comparative data, which typically widens spreads in doubles markets relative to singles.
Key catalysts include official tournament draw confirmation and any late withdrawals or substitutions, which remain possible until match day. Weather delays at Italian clay-court venues can compress scheduling, though the seven-day resolution window provides buffer. Traders should monitor ATP tour announcements for injury updates on any of the four players involved. The early morning scheduled time (4:00 AM ET) may affect liquidity and information flow in the hours before play, potentially creating repricing opportunities as European market participants engage closer to local match time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia (Doubles): Kielan/Romios vs Jecan/Pavel" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: