Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Jones/Paris and Kirkov/Peers in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jones/Paris' if the team of Jones/Paris advances against Kirkov/Peers. This market will resolve to 'Kirkov/Peers' if the team of Kirkov/Peers advances against Jones/Paris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Birmingham (Doubles): Jones/Paris vs Kirkov/Peers | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Jones and Paris face Kirkov and Peers in a doubles match at the Birmingham tournament, originally scheduled for 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 52% implied probability for Jones/Paris to advance, suggesting near-parity between the two pairings. This probability has formed through trading activity across the platform's order book, with the slight lean towards Jones/Paris indicating marginal confidence in that team's chances.
Comparable doubles matchups at ATP 250 level tournaments typically see significant volatility in implied probabilities based on recent form and head-to-head records. Jones and Paris have competed together at various events with mixed results, whilst Kirkov and Peers represent a pairing with its own trajectory through the doubles circuit. Historical precedent suggests that at this probability level—essentially a coin flip with minor directional bias—the market is pricing in genuine uncertainty about which team will prevail, likely reflecting comparable recent performances or ranking considerations.
Traders should monitor several factors ahead of the settlement window closing on 12 June. Any withdrawal announcements from either player would trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution clause. The original scheduling for 5 June leaves a seven-day window before the tie-break threshold; delays beyond 12 June without completion would also resolve at 50-50. Recent tournament draws and player injury reports from the ATP circuit will provide concrete information about team readiness, whilst any updated seeding or bracket adjustments closer to the event date could shift the probability as new information reaches the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Birmingham (Doubles): Jones/Paris vs Kirkov/Peers" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $559 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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