Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Sweden Allsvenskan game between GAIS and Degerfors IF, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the GAIS vs. Degerfors IF match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
GAIS and Degerfors IF will meet in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 16 May 2026. The market prices a specific final scoreline at 8% implied probability, derived from current Polymarket order book depth and positioning. This represents a relatively tight outcome relative to the broader match result markets, reflecting the specificity required—exact scores in football carry inherently lower probabilities than broader betting categories like match winner or over/under goals.
Exact scoreline markets in Allsvenskan typically settle on outcomes ranging from 0–0 to 3–2 or 4–1, with the most common results clustering around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 finishes. Historical data from Swedish top-flight seasons shows that roughly 35–40% of matches conclude in one of the five most frequent scorelines, whilst any single exact score rarely exceeds 12–15% probability. The 8% current price suggests traders view this particular scoreline as moderately likely relative to the full distribution of possible outcomes, though still well below the modal results.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Recent form in Allsvenskan—goal-scoring patterns, defensive solidity, and head-to-head records—will inform whether either side is likely to produce an unusually high or low-scoring performance. Fixture congestion in May, European competition involvement, or weather conditions affecting the pitch could shift expected goal distributions. The settlement window closes at 13:00 GMT on match day, allowing only the final whistle to determine resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.allsvenskan.se/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "GAIS vs. Degerfors IF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $18K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sweden allsvenskan contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.allsvenskan.se/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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