Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "MacMillan" if Alex MacMillan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Leo Fanthome at Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Fanthome" if Leo Fanthome is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MacMillan vs. Fanthome | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Alex MacMillan faces Leo Fanthome in a welterweight preliminary bout at Zuffa Boxing 7 on 6 June 2026, with the main card headlined by Billam-Smith versus Rozicki. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding the outcome. Settlement hinges on official UFC.com confirmation of the result, with technical draws, no contests, or cancellations beyond 20 June triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Preliminary bouts at established fight promotions typically feature fighters with limited public records or significant skill disparities that become apparent only through detailed scouting. The even split here suggests limited readily available comparative data on either fighter's recent form or head-to-head stylistic matchups. Historical patterns show that preliminary welterweight contests often resolve decisively rather than via draw, though the preliminary slot itself carries higher operational risk for schedule disruptions or fighter withdrawals compared to main-card fixtures.
Traders should monitor UFC.com and official Zuffa Boxing announcements for fighter injury reports, weight-cut complications, or last-minute substitutions in the weeks preceding the event. The settlement window closes 7 June at 03:59:59 UTC, allowing minimal time for result confirmation delays. Any official postponement beyond 20 June would lock the market at 50-50, making the proximity of the settlement deadline to the event date a material consideration for position management.
Zuffa Boxing is a professional boxing promotion company founded by CEO of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), Dana White, and Chairman of the Saudi Arabian General Entertainment Authority (GEA), Turki Al-Sheikh. The company is a joint venture between Sela and TKO Group Holdings (TKO), and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zuffa Boxing 7: MacMillan vs. Fanthome (Welterweight, Prelims)" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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