Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Adrien Rassenfosse and Yuta Tanaka in a WTT event, scheduled for June 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rassenfosse' if Adrien Rassenfosse wins against Yuta Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Tanaka' if Yuta Tanaka wins against Adrien Rassenfosse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Men's Singles: Adrien Rassenfosse vs Yuta Tanaka | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Adrien Rassenfosse of Belgium and Yuta Tanaka of Japan are scheduled to meet in a World Table Tennis (WTT) singles match on 4 June at 8:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view this as a genuine toss-up. Settlement occurs by 11 June, allowing a one-week window for completion; matches delayed beyond that date without a result trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Rassenfosse, ranked around 150th globally, and Tanaka, typically positioned in the 80–120 range, represent a significant skill differential that historical WTT matchups would normally favour the higher-ranked player. However, table tennis outcomes depend heavily on form, recent tournament results, and head-to-head records. The current even odds suggest either limited historical data between these players, recent form shifts that have narrowed the gap, or genuine uncertainty about their current playing condition. Traders should review their latest tournament placements and any recent WTT circuit results to calibrate against the market's neutral stance.
Key catalysts include official WTT draw confirmations, any last-minute withdrawals or injury announcements, and weather or venue disruptions that could affect the 4 June fixture. Tournament scheduling changes occasionally occur within 48 hours of matches. Monitoring WTT's official communications and the players' recent social media or tournament updates will signal whether the current 50-50 pricing reflects genuine parity or information asymmetry in the order book.
The WTT Contender Taiyuan 2026 was a table tennis tournament that took place at the Taiyuan Binhe Sports Center, Taiyuan, China, from 7 to 12 April and had a total prize of US$100,000.
The WTT Contender Lagos 2026 is a table tennis tournament that take place at the Sir Molade Okoya Thomas Indoor Sports Hall, Lagos, Nigeria, from 19 to 24 May and have a total prize of US$100,000.
The WTT Contender Skopje 2026 is a table tennis tournament that take place at the Sports Center Jane Sandanski, Skopje, North Macedonia, from 1 to 7 June and have a total prize of US$100,000.
The WTT Contender Zagreb 2026 is a table tennis tournament that take place at the Arena Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia, from 9 to 14 June and have a total prize of US$100,000.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Adrien Rassenfosse vs Yuta Tanaka" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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