Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 3:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Washington Mystics will face the Atlanta Dream on 3 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for the Mystics, indicating traders are pricing in an extremely lopsided expectation. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team carries substantial structural advantages—roster depth, recent form, head-to-head records, or injury status—that the market has already priced in decisively.
Historical precedent suggests that WNBA matchups rarely settle at such extreme probabilities unless there are material disparities in team strength or significant roster absences. When markets reach 95%+ implied probabilities in sports betting, they often reflect either a clear talent gap between opponents or the absence of key players on one side. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on 3 May, allowing approximately four hours post-game for final confirmation before resolution.
Traders monitoring this market should track injury reports and roster confirmations in the days preceding the fixture, as late-breaking absences can shift the underlying matchup dynamics. Schedule changes or postponements remain possible, though the WNBA's fixture calendar is typically stable. The 50-50 cancellation clause provides a floor for downside protection, though outright cancellations without rescheduling are rare in professional league play. Current liquidity on the order book will determine execution costs for any position adjustments closer to tip-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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