Trade: Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $368
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | 46% YES | 54% NO |
Market context
The Golden State Valkyries face the New York Liberty in a WNBA matchup on 21 May at 8:00PM ET, with settlement the following day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 46% implied probability for a Valkyries victory, suggesting the Liberty are favoured at roughly 54%. This probability distribution has formed through active trading across the book's depth, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating the market's confidence level in either outcome.
Historical WNBA matchups between these franchises provide context for evaluating the current odds. The Liberty have established themselves as a consistent playoff contender in recent seasons, whilst the Valkyries represent a newer entry to the league with a developing roster. Head-to-head records, home-court advantage at Madison Square Garden for New York, and relative win-loss records through the season's progression typically anchor probability assessments in comparable sports markets. The 46% probability for Golden State suggests traders are pricing in competitive uncertainty rather than a decisive favourite.
Key catalysts traders should monitor include injury reports released in the days preceding the match, roster availability confirmations, and any schedule changes. Recent WNBA season coverage has emphasised the competitive depth across the league, with mid-season form often diverging from preseason expectations. The settlement window closes at midnight on 22 May, providing a hard deadline; any postponement would extend the market's resolution until the rescheduled game concludes. Current market pricing reflects the standard risk profile for a regular-season matchup between two active rosters.
Wikipedia Context
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Golden State WarriorsThe Golden State Warriors are an American professional basketball team based in San Francisco. The Warriors compete in the National Basketball Association (NBA) as a member of the Pacific Division of the Western Conference. Founded in 1946 in Philadelphia, the Warriors moved to the San Francisco Bay Area in 1962 and took the city's name before changing its g
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Golden State ValkyriesThe Golden State Valkyries are an American professional basketball team based in the San Francisco Bay Area. The Valkyries compete in the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) as a member of the Western Conference. The team began play in the 2025 season. While the Valkyries play their home games at Chase Center in San Francisco, their practice facil
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Golden State Warriors all-time roster
The following is a list of players, both past and current, who appeared at least in one game for the Golden State Warriors NBA franchise. Players in bold denote whose jersey number was retired by the Warriors. Current as of the end of 2025–26 NBA season.
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Golden State (album)Golden State is the fourth studio album by the English rock band Bush, released on 23 October 2001 in the United States and on 29 October 2001 in the United Kingdom through Atlantic Records. It is the last Bush album to feature Nigel Pulsford and Dave Parsons on guitar and bass, respectively. Bush would not release another studio album again until ten years
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 46% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $217 if YES resolves true — a 117% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $368 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 46%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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