Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 1:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Dallas Wings will face the Indiana Fever in a WNBA regular season matchup on 9 May 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for this market, indicating traders are pricing in near-certainty that the game will occur and settle to one of the two teams rather than being postponed or cancelled. This extreme probability typically emerges when settlement conditions are straightforward and cancellation risk is minimal, though the 50-50 resolution clause for complete cancellations remains a tail risk.
WNBA game postponements are relatively uncommon compared to other sports, with most cancellations occurring due to severe weather or facility issues rather than league-level disruptions. Historical precedent suggests that once games are officially scheduled within two weeks of tip-off, the likelihood of postponement drops substantially. The Indiana Fever finished the 2025 season with notable roster changes, whilst Dallas has maintained continuity in their core group, providing baseline context for assessing competitive balance, though this market structure settles purely on match outcome rather than margin.
Traders should monitor official WNBA communications for any venue complications at the scheduled arena, weather forecasts for the Indianapolis area in early May, and any last-minute roster announcements affecting either team. The settlement window closes at 17:00 ET on 9 May, providing a hard deadline after which the game outcome becomes irreversible. No recent scheduling disruptions have been reported for either franchise heading into the 2026 season.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$263K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $262K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: