Trade: VCT 2026: EMEA League Stage 1 Winner
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of the VCT 2026: EMEA League Stage 1 tournament, currently scheduled for April 1st - May 17th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by May 31st, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/EMEA_League/Stage_1) may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $14
- Total Volume
- $1K
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $37
Market outcomes
| Fnatic | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Gentle Mates | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Karmine Corp | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Team Heretics | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Team Vitality | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Eternal Fire | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| BBL Esports | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FUT Esports | 47% YES | 53% NO |
Market context
Valorant Champions Tour (VCT) 2026 will feature a regional league stage for Europe, Middle East, and Africa, running from 1 April through 17 May 2026. The winner of this stage will be determined by Riot Games' official tournament structure, which typically involves a round-robin or playoff format culminating in a single champion. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the current state of liquidity and positioning; with settlement nearly eighteen months away, the absence of meaningful trading volume or committed capital on either side of this market has left the probability at a floor level rather than reflecting genuine market conviction.
Historical VCT regional competitions have consistently crowned winners across EMEA, with teams from France, Spain, Turkey, and the United Kingdom regularly contending for top positions. The 2025 VCT season saw established organisations maintain competitive rosters, though roster changes and new team formations are expected before April 2026. The extended timeframe to settlement means that team acquisitions, player transfers, and coaching changes—typical in esports between now and spring 2026—will materially affect competitive balance. Traders should monitor Riot Games' official VCT announcements regarding league format confirmation, team roster locks, and any schedule adjustments that might affect the May 17 deadline.
Current market depth remains shallow, with no significant bids or offers established. Early traders entering this market will face wide spreads and should expect liquidity to improve substantially as the tournament approaches and teams finalise their lineups in late 2025 or early 2026.
Wikipedia Context
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CKLB-FMCKLB is a Canadian radio station, broadcasting at 101.9 FM in Yellowknife, Northwest Territories. Owned by the Native Communications Society of the Northwest Territories, the station was licensed in 1985 and broadcasts a community radio format for the territory's First Nations population. The station serves the entire Northwest Territories through a network
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "VCT 2026: EMEA League Stage 1 Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$1K in lifetime turnover and $14 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "VCT 2026: EMEA League Stage 1 Winner"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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