Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between FK Zorya Luhansk and FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Zorya Luhansk | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 100% YES | 0% NO |
FK Zorya Luhansk will host FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on 9 May 2026 in the Ukraine Premier Liha, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extremely tight liquidity or a consensus view among active traders that this particular outcome carries negligible likelihood at present.
Halftime markets in Ukrainian football have historically shown volatility depending on team form and tactical approach. Zorya, competing as the home side, typically adopts more aggressive play in opening periods, whilst Metalist 1925—a club reformed in 2020 following Metalist Kharkiv's dissolution—has demonstrated variable early-game intensity. Historical halftime results in Ukrainian Premier Liha fixtures suggest home advantage correlates with higher frequency of home or draw outcomes within the first 45 minutes, though this varies substantially by opponent quality and seasonal context.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official lineups closer to the fixture date, particularly injury status of key attacking or defensive personnel that could shift tactical setup. Polymarket's order book depth will likely increase as the match approaches, potentially shifting the current extreme probability. Recent fixture scheduling and any mid-season form trends for both clubs—particularly Zorya's consistency and Metalist 1925's recent performance trajectory—will inform whether current pricing reflects genuine probability or merely thin initial liquidity. Settlement occurs immediately after the 45-minute mark on 9 May 2026.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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