Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the UEFA Europa League game between Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC, scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest will meet in a UEFA Europa League fixture on 7 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 3:00 PM ET. The corners market on Polymarket is currently pricing total corners at 0% implied probability, indicating that the order book reflects either an extreme consensus view or thin liquidity at present price levels. This settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders approximately 16 hours post-kick-off to resolve the outcome.
Corner frequency in Europa League knockout or late-stage group matches typically ranges between 8 and 14 per match, depending on team tactical approach and match intensity. Historical data from comparable English Premier League fixtures between these clubs shows corner counts averaging 10–12 when both sides adopt attacking formations. The current zero probability suggests either no active bids at any strike level or a technical artefact in how the market is displaying; traders should examine the actual order book depth to understand whether this reflects genuine consensus or a liquidity gap.
Key variables affecting corner accumulation include team sheet announcements (expected 24–48 hours before kick-off), weather conditions at the venue, and whether either side faces elimination pressure that would drive more attacking play. Recent fixture congestion in European competitions can influence corner rates, as fatigued defences tend to concede more set-piece opportunities. Traders should monitor official team news and any late-season injury updates that might alter tactical setup, particularly for full-back availability, which directly correlates with crossing frequency and defensive pressure.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.uefa.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.uefa.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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