Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Süper Lig game between Kayserispor and Konyaspor, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 32% YES | 68% NO |
Kayserispor and Konyaspor will meet in the Turkish Süper Lig on 17 May 2026, with settlement based on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket prices the combined probability of all explicitly listed scorelines at 32%, implying a 68% probability that the match concludes with a result not pre-specified in the market outcomes—typically denoted "Any Other Score." This distribution reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise match results across football, where the range of plausible final scores is wide and heavily weighted towards uncommon combinations.
Turkish Süper Lig matches between mid-table and lower-mid-table sides historically produce varied scorelines, with 1–1 and 1–0 results accounting for roughly 35–40% of fixtures in comparable strength matchups. Neither club has established dominance over the other in recent seasons; both typically finish in the 8th–12th range. The probability weighting towards "Any Other Score" aligns with empirical patterns from similar league fixtures, where exact-score prediction requires both teams' offensive output and defensive solidity to align precisely—a relatively rare occurrence.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions, as late-season Süper Lig fixtures often see tactical adjustments. Fixture congestion and European competition involvement (if applicable) may affect squad availability. Weather conditions in Kayseri in mid-May are typically stable. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on match day, allowing approximately four hours post-kick-off for final score confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://tff.org/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kayserispor vs. Konyaspor - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $763 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://tff.org/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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