Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 19 at 8:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| São Paulo FC (-1.5) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Millonarios FC (-1.5) | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| São Paulo FC (-2.5) | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| Millonarios FC (-2.5) | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 66% YES | 34% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 20% YES | 81% NO |
São Paulo FC will face Millonarios FC in a Copa Sudamericana match on 19 May at 8:30 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 31% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a meaningful but minority likelihood of additional betting markets being offered for this fixture. This probability has formed through live trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers are currently meeting.
Copa Sudamericana fixtures between Brazilian and Colombian clubs typically generate moderate liquidity in secondary markets, though the depth depends on the competition stage and teams' domestic standing. São Paulo's recent form and Millonarios' regional profile will influence whether sportsbooks and prediction platforms deem additional markets commercially viable. Historical precedent shows that matches involving major Brazilian clubs in continental competitions often attract expanded market offerings, particularly if the fixture carries playoff or knockout implications.
Traders should monitor official fixture confirmations and any scheduling changes through CONMEBOL announcements, as postponements or format adjustments could affect market expansion decisions. Team news regarding injuries or suspensions may also influence whether platforms judge the match sufficiently compelling for extended betting options. The settlement window closes on 20 May at 00:30 UTC, giving a narrow window after the match concludes for market creation to be confirmed. Current pricing reflects uncertainty about whether organisers will greenlight additional markets given the fixture's position in the Copa Sudamericana calendar.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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