Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 19 at 6:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Audax CS Italiano (-1.5) | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| CA Barracas Central (-1.5) | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| Audax CS Italiano (-2.5) | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| CA Barracas Central (-2.5) | 17% YES | 83% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 22% YES | 79% NO |
Audax Italiano and Barracas Central are scheduled to meet in the Copa Sudamericana on 19 May at 6:00 PM ET. The market currently prices additional betting opportunities on this fixture at 33% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting modest conviction among traders that supplementary markets will be offered before settlement closes on 19 May at 10:00 PM UTC.
Copa Sudamericana fixtures typically generate multiple betting markets as match day approaches, particularly for clubs with established supporter bases in Argentina and Chile. Barracas Central, promoted to Argentina's top division in 2022, has attracted increased fixture coverage in secondary competitions. Historical precedent suggests that Polymarket's Copa Sudamericana offerings expand substantially within 48 hours of kick-off, as liquidity providers respond to regional interest. The current 33% probability reflects uncertainty about whether the platform will extend its market suite for this particular matchup, balanced against the tournament's secondary status relative to Copa Libertadores fixtures.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's market creation activity and any fixture postponements or scheduling changes announced by CONMEBOL. Recent Copa Sudamericana rounds have seen variable market depth depending on participating clubs' domestic prominence. Audax Italiano's participation in Chilean football and Barracas Central's Argentine league status may influence whether additional markets justify creation costs. Any official fixture confirmation or venue changes would likely shift the probability, as would competitive developments in either club's domestic season affecting squad availability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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