Trade: FK Napredak Krusevac vs. FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serbian SuperLiga game between FK Napredak Krusevac and FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Napredak Krusevac vs. FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $515
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
FK Napredak Krusevac will face FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in a Serbian SuperLiga fixture on 16 May 2026, with settlement based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 50% crowd-implied probability, suggesting traders view the outcome distribution as relatively balanced across the listed score options. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing this equilibrium, though liquidity depth and spread will determine execution costs for positions at various score lines.
Historically, Serbian SuperLiga matches between mid-table and lower-ranked sides have produced a wide distribution of scorelines, with 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results appearing frequently across comparable fixtures. Neither club has established dominance in recent head-to-head records that would skew expectations toward a particular outcome. The even split in implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a consensus view, which typically emerges only when one side holds clear form or injury advantages.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation patterns as the season concludes. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Serbian SuperLiga campaign may affect squad availability and tactical approach. Weather conditions on match day and any late-season managerial changes could shift expected goal output. The settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the final whistle to determine resolution; postponements would trigger market re-evaluation under stated conditions.
Wikipedia Context
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FK Napredak KruševacFudbalski klub Napredak Kruševac, commonly known as Napredak Kruševac, is a Serbian professional football club based in the city of Kruševac. The word Napredak means "progress" in Serbian.
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ŽFK Napredak Kruševac
ŽFK Napredak Kruševac is a Serbian women's football club from Kruševac founded in 1989. It has won one Serbian league and three Serbian cups including a double in 2007. It has played three more cup finals since, but lost them. Most recently, it was second in both competitions in 2013.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://superliga.rs/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "FK Napredak Krusevac vs. FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $515 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://superliga.rs/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "FK Napredak Krusevac vs. FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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