Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game between US Cremonese and Pisa SC, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
US Cremonese will face Pisa SC in a Serie A fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market's 0% implied probability reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where no traders have yet committed capital to any specific scoreline outcome. This absence of liquidity at the opening suggests either minimal early interest or uncertainty about which exact scores merit backing at current spreads.
Exact-score markets in Serie A typically see their probabilities shaped by historical match patterns between sides, recent form, and team composition. Cremonese and Pisa occupy different tiers of Italian football's competitive landscape, with their respective defensive and offensive capabilities directly influencing the likelihood of low-scoring versus high-scoring results. Previous encounters between these clubs, along with their seasonal goal-differential records, provide empirical anchors for evaluating which scorelines carry genuine probability mass versus those that remain statistical outliers.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news through late April and early May, including injury updates and any tactical shifts announced by either manager. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Serie A season may affect squad rotation decisions. Additionally, any weather warnings or pitch conditions reported closer to match day could influence expected goal distributions. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on match day, allowing only pre-match trading; live-betting opportunities will not affect this market's resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$310 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $270 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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