Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between FK Rubin Kazan and FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
FK Rubin Kazan will face FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod in a Russian Premier League fixture on 17 May 2026. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any outcome not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The 10% implied probability on the order book reflects a narrow set of specific scorelines being priced as likely outcomes, with the remainder of probability mass distributed across alternative results or the catch-all category.
Exact-score markets in Russian Premier League fixtures typically show low individual probabilities for any single scoreline, as the combinatorial nature of possible outcomes naturally fragments liquidity. Historical patterns suggest that when a single exact score trades at 10% on Polymarket's order book, it generally indicates either a heavily favoured result (such as a strong home side winning 2–0 or 2–1) or reflects early-stage liquidity concentration before broader trading activity. The distribution of remaining probability across dozens of possible scorelines means the "Any Other Score" category often commands 40–60% of total market value in such fixtures.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the weeks preceding the match, particularly injury updates to key attacking or defensive players. Fixture congestion in the Russian Premier League's final weeks may affect rotation decisions. Weather conditions on match day—precipitation and wind can influence scoring patterns—become relevant only as the fixture approaches. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 17 May, allowing approximately four hours after kick-off for final score confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://premierliga.ru/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://premierliga.ru/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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