Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between Dinamo 1948 and FC CFR 1907 Cluj.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dinamo 1948 | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Draw (Dinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj) | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 29% YES | 71% NO |
Dinamo Bucharest will host CFR Cluj in a Romania SuperLiga fixture on Saturday, 16 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Dinamo victory at 42 per cent, implying roughly even odds between a home win and either a draw or away result combined. Settlement occurs at 18:00 UTC on the match date.
Historically, Dinamo and CFR represent the two strongest clubs in Romanian football, with CFR holding the more recent domestic dominance—winning four consecutive league titles from 2019 to 2022. Dinamo's home record against top-six opponents typically ranges between 35 and 50 per cent win probability depending on seasonal form and squad stability. The 42 per cent probability for a Dinamo home win sits within the lower-to-middle range of that band, suggesting the market is pricing in either CFR's structural strength or potential squad disruption at Dinamo heading into May.
Traders should monitor team news releases and injury confirmations in the final fortnight before kickoff, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel at either club. Fixture congestion in late April and early May—including potential European competition or cup matches—could affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Recent Romanian SuperLiga standings and form tables published by the official league body will clarify each side's momentum. Any managerial changes or significant transfers announced between now and mid-May would shift the probability materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lpf.ro/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dinamo 1948 vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lpf.ro/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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