Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Sport Boys Association and Cusco FC, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Sport Boys Association | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Cusco FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Sport Boys Association will host Cusco FC in a Peru Liga 1 fixture on 16 May 2026 at 9:30 PM ET, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline. The 49% YES probability currently reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests near-parity between a Sport Boys home win or draw in the opening 45 minutes versus a Cusco away result or draw. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity rather than a single source, with the order book depth determining how marginal shifts in sentiment move the quoted probability.
Historically, Peru Liga 1 halftime markets have been shaped by home-field advantage patterns and team-specific first-half tendencies. Sport Boys, competing from their Lima base, typically benefit from familiar conditions, though Cusco FC's high-altitude home ground (3,400 metres) has historically compressed goal-scoring rates across both halves when visiting teams adjust to oxygen levels. Early-season form and recent head-to-head records between these clubs inform whether the current 49% reflects genuine equilibrium or a temporary imbalance in the order book.
Traders should monitor team news releases through early May regarding squad availability and any tactical adjustments announced pre-match. Weather conditions in Lima on match day—particularly wind patterns affecting ball flight—can influence first-half goal probabilities. Cusco FC's recent league positioning and whether Sport Boys enter this fixture on a winning streak will likely shift the probability as the match approaches, particularly in the 24 hours before kickoff when late information typically flows into the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sport Boys Association vs. Cusco FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $97 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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